This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards).
Leading outcome
39.3%
39%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 39.45%, down 7.1 percentage points from 46.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 47% → 39%
-7.1 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46.5% to 39.45% (-7.05 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T06:32:28.344Z to 2026-10-21T06:50:25.251Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 46.5% → 39.45%
Probability moved from 46.5% to 39.45% (-7.05 percentage points). Observations were 17 minutes 57 seconds apart: 2026-10-21 06:32:28 UTC to 2026-10-21 06:50:25 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 14% to 49.4% (+35.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z to 2026-10-21T06:19:22.060Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 20.7% to 14% (-6.7 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:30:29.244Z to 2026-10-21T05:47:59.199Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 27.1% to 20.7% (-6.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:17:25.794Z to 2026-10-21T05:30:29.244Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 34.2% to 27.1% (-7.1 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T05:02:32.123Z to 2026-10-21T05:17:25.794Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 40.5% to 34.2% (-6.3 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:47:12.589Z to 2026-10-21T05:02:32.123Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 47.9% to 40.5% (-7.4 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:32:51.721Z to 2026-10-21T04:47:12.589Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 3.05% to 47.9% (+44.85 percentage points), from 2026-10-21T04:20:41.613Z to 2026-10-21T04:32:51.721Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
This market will resolve in favor of the player that finishes the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards). In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season.
If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of scrimmage yards per touch (scrimmage yards divided by the sum of rushing attempts and receptions) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games. If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage yards within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.