This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the listed price.
PolySays may earn referral rewards from Polymarket links at no added cost to you. Full disclosure.
2 outcomes
Yes
100%
0.0 pp 24h
No
0%
0.0 pp 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionResolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for S&P 500 (SPY) on September 21, 2026 is higher than the listed price.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding. If S&P 500 (SPY) does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.
If the specified day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price.
If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day. If the listed date is not a trading day under the applicable trading-hours schedule as listed on Pyth, this market will resolve 50-50.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle available at.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
Latest update
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
Unresolved questions
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline