In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club and Al Fayha Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus…
Leading outcome
9.5%
10%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 8%, up 3.0 percentage points from 5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 5% → 8%
+3.0 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 5% to 8% (+3 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T08:17:22.256Z to 2026-11-04T08:32:35.065Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 5% → 8%
Probability moved from 5% to 8% (+3 percentage points). Observations were 15 minutes 13 seconds apart: 2026-11-04 08:17:22 UTC to 2026-11-04 08:32:35 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 8.5% to 5% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T07:47:09.705Z to 2026-11-04T08:04:47.143Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 13.5% to 9% (-4.5 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T06:01:04.067Z to 2026-11-04T06:24:54.072Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
In the upcoming Saudi Professional League game between Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club and Al Fayha Saudi Club, originally scheduled for Thursday, November 5, 2026 at 12:30 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to the event): If Al Qadisiyah Saudi Club wins within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If this market's outcome was definitively determined under its rules by the listed resolution sources before abandonment, that outcome will stand. Otherwise, the following no-result provisions apply. If the game is canceled, does not start by Saturday, November 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or is abandoned with no official result by that time, this market will resolve to "No".
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
If the game has an official result but the first half was not completed, this market will resolve to "No". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor names, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences in a team's or player's name will not affect resolution, provided the intended team or player can be clearly and uniquely identified as a participant in the listed fixture or competition.
If a listed name has no reasonable connection to any participant, or could reasonably refer to more than one participant such that the intended team or player cannot be determined, this market will resolve as it would if the listed fixture had been canceled entirely; a listed participant who cannot be identified does not count as inactive or absent.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official match information from Saudi Professional League (. If the governing body or event organizers have not published final statistics within 2 hours of the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve to "No".