Latest update
NewsPartly sourcedCoinDesk: Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality
CoinDesk reports: “Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality”
Yes: 90% → 91%
+0.8 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
Leading outcome
0%
0%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
NewsPartly sourcedCoinDesk reports: “Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality”
Yes: 90% → 91%
+0.8 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
CoinDesk's report states: “The switch will replace Solana’s existing validator voting system, remove vote transactions from blocks and could sharply change headline transaction counts even if user activity stays flat.” The contract asks: “Will the price of Solana be above $105 on October 14?” The report adds context about Solana. Its claims should be read against the contract's exact condition, rather than treated as a confirmed outcome.
The measured move
Yes: 90.2% → 91.0%
Probability moved from 90.2% to 91% (+0.8 percentage points). Observations were 4 minutes 21 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 08:00:52 UTC to 2026-10-14 08:05:13 UTC.
Follow the cited report and subsequent developments against the contract's exact conditions. PolySays has not verified official exchange settlement.
www.coindesk.com
The switch will replace Solana’s existing validator voting system, remove vote transactions from blocks and could sharply change headline transaction counts even if user activity stays flat.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for SOL/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the SOL/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance SOL/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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Source market
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Story so far
Recently updatedCoinDesk reports: “Solana sets Oct. 21 for Alpenglow upgrade targeting 150-millisecond finality”
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story