Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlySenators vs. Kings: O/U 8.5 — probability rises to 99.95%
The tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 16.0 percentage points from 84% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Over: 84% → 100%
+16.0 pp