In the NHL game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Red Wings" if the Red Wings win the game by 2 or more goals.
Leading outcome
100%
100%
2 outcomes
Red Wings
Blackhawks
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 8.0 percentage points from 92% in the latest observation window. The cause of this move is not established.
Red Wings: 92% → 100%
+8.0 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 92% to 99.95% (+7.95 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T02:05:01.495Z to 2026-10-30T02:16:57.677Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Red Wings: 92% → 99.95%
Probability moved from 92% to 99.95% (+7.95 percentage points). Observations were 11 minutes 56 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 02:05:01 UTC to 2026-10-30 02:16:57 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the NHL game, scheduled for October 29 at 7:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Red Wings" if the Red Wings win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Blackhawks". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Spread: Red Wings (-1.5) — probability rises to 99.95%
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.