In the upcoming NFL football game between Panthers and Packers, scheduled for October 29 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Kraft scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game.
Leading outcome
75.1%
75%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 75%, down 16.5 percentage points from 91.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 92% → 75%
-16.5 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 91.5% to 75% (-16.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T01:17:27.705Z to 2026-10-30T02:03:33.316Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 91.5% → 75%
Probability moved from 91.5% to 75% (-16.5 percentage points). Observations were 46 minutes 6 seconds apart: 2026-10-30 01:17:27 UTC to 2026-10-30 02:03:33 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 87.5% to 91.5% (+4 percentage points), from 2026-10-30T00:49:15.817Z to 2026-10-30T01:17:27.705Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
In the upcoming NFL football game between Panthers and Packers, scheduled for October 29 at 8:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Kraft scores 1 or more rushing or receiving touchdowns in this game.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Defensive and special teams touchdowns do not count. Overtime is included if played. All statistics are based on the official NFL game book as published on NFL.com at the conclusion of the game. Stat corrections issued after the game has been completed will not count. If the player is inactive or does not play, this market will resolve to "No".
If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.