This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Jalen Hurts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 2,999.5.
Leading outcome
3.5%
3%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
PlungeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability fell to 9.5%, down 4.0 percentage points from 13.5% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 14% → 10%
-4.0 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 13.5% to 9.5% (-4 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T17:32:40.438Z to 2026-10-19T17:47:07.320Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 13.5% → 9.5%
Probability moved from 13.5% to 9.5% (-4 percentage points). Observations were 14 minutes 27 seconds apart: 2026-10-19 17:32:40 UTC to 2026-10-19 17:47:07 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 15% to 18.5% (+3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T13:15:45.012Z to 2026-10-19T13:31:28.002Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 15% to 19% (+4 percentage points), from 2026-10-19T04:15:21.343Z to 2026-10-19T04:30:04.529Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 22% to 15.5% (-6.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T04:16:45.326Z to 2026-10-18T04:32:27.128Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 21.5% to 16.5% (-5 percentage points), from 2026-10-18T01:02:28.604Z to 2026-10-18T01:17:40.250Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 23.5% to 20% (-3.5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T22:31:13.091Z to 2026-10-17T22:46:51.520Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 41.5% to 23.5% (-18 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T22:17:02.108Z to 2026-10-17T22:31:13.091Z (UTC).
Observed movement
Observed probability fell from 46.5% to 41.5% (-5 percentage points), from 2026-10-17T22:02:26.526Z to 2026-10-17T22:17:02.108Z (UTC).
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the number of passing yards Jalen Hurts records during the 2026-27 NFL regular season equals or exceeds 2,999.5.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Jalen Hurts does not play in the 2026-27 NFL regular season for any reason, this market will resolve to "No". If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is shortened, truncated, or ends early for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available official data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it cannot be determined how many passing yards Jalen Hurts recorded within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "50-50". The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.