In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and Mirassol FC, scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs.
Leading outcome
100%
100%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
SurgeMonitoring onlyThe tracked probability rose to 99.95%, up 13.0 percentage points from 87% in the latest observation window. No evidence-qualified public source was supplied, so this remains a monitoring note rather than a causal explanation.
Yes: 87% → 100%
+13.0 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
Observed movement
Observed probability rose from 87% to 99.95% (+12.95 percentage points), from 2026-11-04T00:35:47.339Z to 2026-11-04T00:52:50.604Z (UTC).
Editorial research is deferred. This update preserves the observed market change. The cause of the move is not established.
The measured move
Yes: 87% → 99.95%
Probability moved from 87% to 99.95% (+12.95 percentage points). Observations were 17 minutes 3 seconds apart: 2026-11-04 00:35:47 UTC to 2026-11-04 00:52:50 UTC.
Watch further market observations and reporting about this contract. This update has not been enrolled for editorial research.
No external sources are attached yet.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Associação Chapecoense de Futebol and Mirassol FC, scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs.
Mirassol FC match originally scheduled for November 3, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
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Source market
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Story so far
MonitoringPolySays is monitoring this market.
No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.
No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.
However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, data from Flashscore may be used; if Flashscore data is unavailable, data from Sofascore may be used; if neither is available, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead.
All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome. If no acceptable data is available within 24 hours of the event's conclusion, this market will resolve 50-50, or to "Draw" where applicable.