Latest update
NewsPartly sourcedCoinDesk: U.S. September CPI comes in hot, sending bitcoin sharply lower
CoinDesk reports: “U.S. September CPI comes in hot, sending bitcoin sharply lower”
Yes: 82% → 81%
-1.2 ppBy PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
Leading outcome
0%
0%
2 outcomes
Yes
No
Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).
Latest update
NewsPartly sourcedCoinDesk reports: “U.S. September CPI comes in hot, sending bitcoin sharply lower”
Yes: 82% → 81%
-1.2 ppOdds chart
Living timeline
CoinDesk's report states: “The news could put multiple rate hikes by the Federal Reserve back into play.” The contract asks: “Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 14?” This is reporting about Bitcoin; it supplies context and does not establish that the contract's condition has been met.
The measured move
Yes: 82.5% → 81.3%
Probability moved from 82.45% to 81.25% (-1.2 percentage points). Observations were 5 minutes 33 seconds apart: 2026-10-14 13:00:08 UTC to 2026-10-14 13:05:41 UTC.
Follow the cited report and subsequent developments against the contract's exact conditions. PolySays has not verified official exchange settlement.
www.coindesk.com
The news could put multiple rate hikes by the Federal Reserve back into play.
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionRead the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
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Source market
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Story so far
Recently updatedCoinDesk reports: “U.S. September CPI comes in hot, sending bitcoin sharply lower”
A sourced or deterministic market update is available.
Supported by the sources below
What the evidence doesn’t settle
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Public sources opened for this story