activeSportsNaoya Kihara +8% 24h

WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

This market will resolve to the player who finishes in 1st place on the official 2026 World Series of Poker Player of the Year (POY) leaderboard at the conclusion of all POY-qualifying events.

View on Polymarket

PolySays may earn referral rewards from Polymarket links at no added cost to you. Full disclosure.

Get alerts for WSOP: Player of the Year Winner

We email only when PolySays publishes a meaningful update, not every price move.

Current leader
Shaun Deeb 44%
Largest 24h move
Naoya Kihara +8%
24h volume
100
Liquidity
2.2K

Top candidates

50 outcomes

Shaun Deeb

44%

+0% 24h

William Foxen

36%

-1% 24h

Naoya Kihara

20%

+8% 24h

Michael J Moncek

4%

-0% 24h

Joshua Arieh

2%

0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Jesse Lonis

2%

0%

Daniel Negreanu

2%

0%

Justin Liberto

1%

-2%

Alex Anton

0%

0%

Benny Glaser

0%

0%

Nicholas Schulman

0%

0%

Joshua Reichard

0%

0%

Eelis Jaakko Eino Paerssinen

0%

—

Martin Zamani

0%

—

Myles Mullaly

0%

—

Marco Johnson

0%

—

Michael Mizrachi

0%

—

Christopher David Brewer

0%

—

Christopher Brian Hunichen

0%

—

Daniel Rezaei

0%

—

Daisuke Ogita

0%

—

Artur Martirosian

0%

—

Sean Sexton Winter

0%

—

Kristen Foxen

0%

—

Jamie Dwan

0%

—

Joey Marc Weissman

0%

—

Dylan Smith

0%

—

Maxx Coleman

0%

—

Calvin Anderson

0%

—

Chenxiang Miao

0%

—

Tony Ren Lin

0%

—

Thomas Hall

0%

—

Zdenek Zizka

0%

—

Stephen Hubbard

0%

—

Dennis Weiss

0%

—

Joao Simao

0%

—

Biao Ding

0%

—

Santhosh Suvarna

0%

—

Yuri Dzivielevski

0%

—

Sergio Martinez Gonzalez

0%

—

Aaron Kupin

0%

—

Jason Daly

0%

—

Nicholas Pupillo

0%

—

Hok Yiu Lee

0%

—

Richard Alsup

0%

—

David Baker

0%

—

Naseem Salem

0%

—

Michael Leah

0%

—

Justin Fawcett

0%

—

Dylan Weisman

0%

—

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve to the player who finishes in 1st place on the official 2026 World Series of Poker Player of the Year (POY) leaderboard at the conclusion of all POY-qualifying events. If a player not individually listed as an outcome finishes 1st on the final POY leaderboard, this market will resolve to "Other".

If two or more players are tied for 1st on the final POY leaderboard, this market will resolve according to the official WSOP POY tiebreaker procedure. If a tie remains with no official resolution, the market will resolve in favor of the tied player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.

Read the complete resolution rules

If the 2026 WSOP POY race is cancelled, or a final leaderboard is not determined by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be official information from WSOP (; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Limited confidence

Naoya Kihara moved higher from 11.5% to 20.0% (+8.5 points) between 2026-08-09T22:56:11.211Z and 2026-08-10T22:56:11.211Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

The latest move is visible, but the public source trail is still thin.

Latest update

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Naoya Kihara moved higher from 11.5% to 20.0% (+8.5 points) between 2026-08-09T22:56:11.211Z and 2026-08-10T22:56:11.211Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "Naoya Kihara" outcome in "WSOP: Player of the Year Winner" made a sharp move from 11.5% to 20.0% between 2026-08-09T22:56:11.211Z and 2026-08-10T22:56:11.211Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    What changed

    The market repriced by +8.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

Keep exploring

Recent market explanations

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

National Bank Open: Diana Shnaider vs Iga Swiatek

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

FK Rostov vs. FK Rubin Kazan

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Group

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

CF Cruz Azul vs. New York City FC