Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary?
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
- Current leader
- Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election 95%
- Largest 24h move
- Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election -5%
- 24h volume
- 452.7
- Liquidity
- 154.7K
Top candidates
20 outcomes
Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
95%
+0% 24h
Bernadette Wilson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
62%
+2% 24h
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
42%
0% 24h
Matt Claman advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
38%
+0% 24h
Click Bishop advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
38%
+2% 24h
Show all outcomes
Dave Bronson advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
36%
-5%
Bill Walker advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
31%
+1%
Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
27%
0%
Matt Heilala advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
14%
+1%
Lesil McGuire advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
13%
0%
Destry J. Payne Sr. advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
7%
+0%
Adam Crum advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
6%
-1%
Shelley Hughes advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
5%
0%
Hank Kroll advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
5%
0%
Edna DeVries advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
5%
0%
Gregg Brelsford advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
5%
0%
Bruce Walden advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
4%
0%
James Parkin advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
3%
0%
Jessica Faircloth advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
3%
0%
Nancy Dahlstrom advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election
2%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
Resolves No
Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
The non-partisan primary election for Governor of Alaska is scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. The top four candidates in this election by number of votes won will advance to the general election for Governor of Alaska.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election probability of 95%.
Story so far
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There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline