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What will Elon post this week? (August 31 - September 6)

Post

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Current leader

0%

0%

Largest 24h move-50.0 pp 24h
24h volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$0
Closed

Top candidates

6 outcomes

  • Will Elon post "Deport" or "Deported" on X this week?

    -50.0 pp 24h0%
  • Will Elon post "Texas" on X this week?

    -50.0 pp 24h0%
  • Will Elon post "Sam" or "Altman" on X this week?

    -49.5 pp 24h0%
  • Will Elon post "Tweak" on X this week?

    -49.0 pp 24h0%
  • Will Elon post "Trump" on X this week?

    -48.9 pp 24h0%
Show all outcomes
  • Will Elon post "Video game" or "Videogame" on X this week?

    0%

    -46.0 pp

Now Gained in 24h Lost in 24hChanges are in percentage points (pp).

Latest update

No update yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement. We won’t invent a story to fill the space.

Story so far

Monitoring

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No evidence-qualified explanation has been published yet.

No evidence logged yet. No catalyst, open question, or public source is attached to this story, and we won’t guess.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Living timeline

Significant updates

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Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

Read the rules before reading the headline. Resolution wording decides the outcome, not the news.

See what is changing

Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if @elonmusk posts the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, all text posted by the listed account in quote and reply posts count toward a "Yes" resolution, but quoted posts and reposts will not count.

Text posted in images, memes, or other non-animated, non-video media that are not strictly text will qualify towards a "Yes" resolution only if the listed term is spelled out clearly and in full. (e.g., words spelled out in a letter posted as a.jpg will qualify, however a word posted as part of an animated.gif will not.) Any plural or possessive forms of a listed term, as well as variance in capitalizations, will count toward the resolution of this market, regardless of context.

Other forms of the listed term will NOT count. Extraneous symbols being inserted into a word (ex: r@d1cal, for "radical") will disqualify it from counting toward a "Yes" resolution. Sigils at the beginnings of words, such as hashtags, "@" symbols, or denotations of currency, will not disqualify a term from counting towards a "Yes" resolution.

Read the complete resolution rules

Misspellings or iterations of the listed term, including all grammatical or slang forms, or misspellings with extra, missing, or incorrect letters (ex: helloooooooo or heoll, for ‘hello’), will not count toward a “Yes” resolution, regardless of context or intent.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). The resolution source for this market will be Elon Musk's verified X account: @elonmusk Please note, only the @elonmusk verified X account counts for this market, regardless of the URL for this profile.

If Elon Musk posts from another account, it has no bearing on the resolution of this market.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

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