closedEsports+34% 24h

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Heretics and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET.

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Current leader
Team Heretics 100%
Leader 24h
+34%
24h volume
392K
Liquidity
368.5K

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

Team Heretics

100%

+34% 24h

Natus Vincere

0%

-34% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket round 1 match between Team Heretics and Natus Vincere in the VCT EMEA Play-Ins, initially scheduled for August 12 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Team Heretics" if Team Heretics win the match against Natus Vincere. This market will resolve to "Natus Vincere" if Natus Vincere win the match against Team Heretics.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

Read the complete resolution rules

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from. However, if has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching.

Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition.

If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins jumps: Team Heretics odds 63.5% → 100%

Odds chart

Probability over time

Story so far

Limited confidence

Team Heretics moved higher from 63.5% to 100.0% (+36.5 points) between 2026-08-11T21:00:12.000Z and 2026-08-12T21:03:05.278Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

The latest move is visible, but the public source trail is still thin.

Latest update

Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins jumps: Team Heretics odds 63.5% → 100%

Team Heretics moved higher from 63.5% to 100.0% (+36.5 points) between 2026-08-11T21:00:12.000Z and 2026-08-12T21:03:05.278Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "Team Heretics" outcome in "Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins" made a sharp move from 63.5% to 100.0% between 2026-08-11T21:00:12.000Z and 2026-08-12T21:03:05.278Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    What changed

    The market repriced by +36.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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