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closedPolitics+22.8 pp 24h

Trump approval rating on September 4?

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026.

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Current leader
100% 100%
Largest 24h move
+22.8 pp
24h volume
674.1
Liquidity
0

Top candidates

1 outcome

Will Trump's approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on September 4, 2026?

100%

+22.8 pp 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 4, 2026. Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator,, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

Read the complete resolution rules

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

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Candidate probability over time

Story so far

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Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

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People and institutions to watch

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Source trail

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Living timeline

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