closedElections+1% 24h

Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?

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Current leader
No 100%
Leader 24h
+1%
24h volume
3.8M
Liquidity
3.3M

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

No

100%

+1% 24h

Yes

0%

-1% 24h

Odds chart

Probability over time

Story so far

Needs a refresh

Byron Donalds remains near-certain in the Florida Republican governor nominee market at 99.2%. The latest reported movement was not a price change but a timing update, with the market nearing close in about 2.7 hours and no change in odds or volume during the window.

No major update has changed the story in 11 days.

Latest update

No updates yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • The market is nearing close in about 2.7 hours.
  • Same-day coverage reportedly emphasized Donalds' campaign momentum and the race's final stretch.

Unresolved questions

  • Whether any late information changes the market before close.
  • Whether the current 99.2% level holds through settlement.

People and institutions to watch

Byron DonaldsFlorida Republican governor nominee marketFlorida GOP primary

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

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