activeSportsthe FBS Independents conference -35% 24h

NCAA Football: Conference to Win National Championship

This market resolves according to the conference affiliation of the team that wins the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026-27 season.

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Current leader
the American conference 42%
Largest 24h move
the FBS Independents conference -35%
24h volume
56.3
Liquidity
4.5K

Top candidates

11 outcomes

the American conference

42%

+16% 24h

the Conference USA conference

40%

+5% 24h

the Mountain West conference

39%

-2% 24h

the SEC conference

37%

+1% 24h

the Sun Belt conference

33%

-7% 24h

Show all outcomes

the Big Ten conference

32%

+1%

the ACC conference

26%

+11%

the Mid-American conference

25%

0%

the Pac-12 conference

25%

0%

the Big 12 conference

9%

+1%

the FBS Independents conference

9%

-35%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market resolves according to the conference affiliation of the team that wins the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026-27 season. The outcome corresponding to the conference of the championship-winning team will resolve "Yes"; all other outcomes will resolve "No".

A team's conference is its official conference affiliation for football during the 2026-27 season, as recognized by the NCAA and the College Football Playoff. If the College Football Playoff National Championship for the 2026-27 season is canceled or not played such that no champion is crowned, this market will resolve "Other".

Read the complete resolution rules

The primary resolution source will be official information from the College Football Playoff ( and the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

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Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Still building

the American conference is 42%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and sourced updates for NCAA Football: Conference to Win...

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Latest update

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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

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Living timeline

Significant updates

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