closedSports+66% 24h

Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-08-16?

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Current leader
Yes 100%
Leader 24h
+66%
24h volume
566.6K
Liquidity
386K

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

Yes

100%

+66% 24h

No

0%

-66% 24h

Odds chart

Probability over time

Story so far

Needs a refresh

NYCFC vs. Philadelphia Union saw a late, sharp repricing in New York City FC's win market, falling from 53.5% to 1.25% between 2026-08-16T22:48:05.467Z and 2026-08-17T00:03:05.382Z UTC. The supplied inputs show same-day preview, lineup, and availability coverage around the move, but do not confirm a single trigger.

No major update has changed the story in 18 days.

Latest update

No updates yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No single confirmed catalyst is evident in the supplied inputs.
  • The move appears to have coincided with same-day preview coverage and broader market repricing.
  • Availability coverage may have been part of the backdrop, but that remains unconfirmed.
  • The latest update was a Polymarket-reported sharp plunge in the NYCFC win market.

Unresolved questions

  • What specific news, lineup information, or market signal drove the NYCFC move?
  • Was the shift part of a broader change across related match outcomes or mainly the New York City FC side?
  • Did any late team news or trading activity arrive during the 22:48 UTC to 00:03 UTC window?
  • Why did the earlier draw price reverse lower again, and does it connect to the later plunge?

People and institutions to watch

New York City FCPhiladelphia UnionNYCFC vs. Union win marketDraw outcome in NYCFC vs. Union marketSame-day preview coverageAvailability coverageBroader market repricingPolymarket-reported price change

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

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