MLB: Player to Hit 50+ Home Runs
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season.
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- Current leader
- Ben Rice hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season 38%
- Largest 24h move
- Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season +5%
- 24h volume
- 98
- Liquidity
- 70.8K
Top candidates
30 outcomes
Ben Rice hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
38%
+0% 24h
Junior Caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
33%
+3% 24h
Hunter Goodman hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
28%
+5% 24h
Yordan Alvarez hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
27%
-2% 24h
Kyle Schwarber hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
27%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
James Wood hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
21%
0%
Shohei Ohtani hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
4%
+0%
Matt Olson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
4%
+0%
Bryce Harper hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
4%
-0%
Manny Machado hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
3%
-0%
Kazuma Okamoto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
3%
+0%
CJ Abrams hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
3%
-1%
Munetaka Murakami hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
2%
—
Mike Trout hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
2%
—
Brandon Lowe hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
2%
+0%
Colson Montgomery hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
2%
+0%
Andy Pages hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
2%
+1%
Ketel Marte hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
2%
—
Juan Soto hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
2%
-0%
Dillon Dingler hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
1%
-0%
Aaron Judge hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
1%
—
Wilson Contreras hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
1%
—
Christian Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
1%
—
Jordan Walker hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
1%
—
Dansby Swanson hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
1%
—
Miguel Vargas hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
1%
-0%
Shea Langeliers hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
1%
—
Nick Kurtz hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0%
—
Byron Buxton hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0%
-2%
Pete Alonso hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season
0%
—
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 50 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Still buildingBen Rice hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season is 38%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and sourced...
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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