activeSportsHunter Goodman hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season +9% 24h

MLB: Player to Hit 40+ Home Runs

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season.

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Current leader
Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season 94%
Largest 24h move
Hunter Goodman hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season +9%
24h volume
6
Liquidity
21.3K

Top candidates

30 outcomes

Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

94%

+1% 24h

Kyle Schwarber hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

87%

+0% 24h

Hunter Goodman hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

73%

+9% 24h

Junior Caminero hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

64%

0% 24h

Matt Olson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

56%

-1% 24h

Show all outcomes

CJ Abrams hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

52%

-1%

Ben Rice hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

51%

+4%

Munetaka Murakami hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

49%

+4%

James Wood hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

33%

-1%

Shohei Ohtani hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

23%

-2%

Jordan Walker hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

12%

+2%

Byron Buxton hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

12%

-1%

Dillon Dingler hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

12%

+1%

Brandon Lowe hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

10%

+3%

Colson Montgomery hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

10%

0%

Christian Walker hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

10%

—

Pete Alonso hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

9%

—

Kazuma Okamoto hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

9%

—

Bryce Harper hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

7%

—

Ketel Marte hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

7%

—

Wilson Contreras hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

6%

—

Andy Pages hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

6%

—

Nick Kurtz hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

6%

—

Miguel Vargas hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

6%

—

Dansby Swanson hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

5%

—

Manny Machado hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

4%

—

Aaron Judge hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

3%

+0%

Mike Trout hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

3%

—

Juan Soto hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

3%

—

Shea Langeliers hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season

2%

-0%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

This market will resolve "Yes" if the listed player hits 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or it is otherwise unclear if the listed player recorded a 40 or more home runs during 2026 MLB regular season within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 0 significant updates

See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Still building

Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season is 94%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and...

There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.

Latest update

No updates yet

The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

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