MLB: ERA Leader
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season.
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- Current leader
- Max Fried lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season 3%
- Largest 24h move
- Eduardo Rodriguez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season -0%
- 24h volume
- 25
- Liquidity
- 10.3K
Top candidates
35 outcomes
Max Fried lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
3%
-0% 24h
Cristopher Sánchez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
3%
+0% 24h
Yoshinobu Yamamoto lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
3%
0% 24h
Garrett Crochet lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
3%
-0% 24h
Nick Pivetta lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
3%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Tarik Skubal lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
3%
0%
Hunter Brown lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
3%
0%
Dylan Cease lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
3%
-0%
Eduardo Rodriguez lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
2%
-0%
Shohei Ohtani lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
2%
0%
Paul Skenes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
2%
0%
Taj Bradley lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
2%
-0%
Michael Wacha lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
2%
—
Bryce Elder lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
2%
—
Clay Holmes lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Seth Lugo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Reynaldo López lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Nolan McLean lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Bryan Woo lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
-0%
José Soriano lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Connelly Early lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Matthew Boyd lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Logan Webb lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Brayan Bello lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Jeffrey Springs lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
0%
Carmen Mlodzinski lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Gavin Williams lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Jacob deGrom lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Freddy Peralta lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Chad Patrick lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
1%
—
Merrill Kelly lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
0%
—
Emerson Hancock lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
0%
—
Joe Ryan lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
0%
—
Andrew Abbott lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
0%
0%
Carlos Rodón lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season
0%
—
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the pitcher who records the lowest earned run average among qualified pitchers during the 2026 Major League Baseball regular season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB.
If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the pitcher that records more innings pitched during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that records more strikeouts during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the pitcher that walked fewer batters during the 2026 MLB regular season.
Read the complete resolution rules
If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the pitcher whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Still buildingMax Fried lead the MLB in ERA for the 2026 regular season is 3%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and sourced updates for MLB:...
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
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