activeSportsAny Player Penta Kill -25% 24h

LoL: Caldya Esport vs Lausanne-Sport Esports (BO1) - Nexus League Regular Season

By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method

This market refers to the LoL match between Caldya Esport and Lausanne-Sport Esports in the Nexus League Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 6:00AM ET.

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Current leader
Both Teams Slay a Dragon 66%
Largest 24h move
Any Player Penta Kill -25%
24h volume
0
Liquidity
4.7K

Top candidates

5 outcomes

Both Teams Slay a Dragon

66%

+16% 24h

Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor

28%

-22% 24h

Any Player Quadra Kill

28%

-22% 24h

Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors

28%

-22% 24h

Any Player Penta Kill

25%

-25% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market refers to the LoL match between Caldya Esport and Lausanne-Sport Esports in the Nexus League Regular Season, initially scheduled for August 1 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Caldya Esport" if Caldya Esport win the match against Lausanne-Sport Esports. This market will resolve to "Lausanne-Sport Esports" if Lausanne-Sport Esports win the match against Caldya Esport.

If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.

Read the complete resolution rules

If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from. However, if has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence.

In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching.

Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition.

If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.

Living timeline · 4 significant updates

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Story so far

Limited confidence

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon moved higher from 50.0% to 65.5% (+15.5 points) between 2026-08-01T03:37:06.354Z and 2026-08-01T04:37:09.754Z; there is no clear...

The latest move is visible, but the public source trail is still thin.

Latest update

Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet

Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon moved higher from 50.0% to 65.5% (+15.5 points) between 2026-08-01T03:37:06.354Z and 2026-08-01T04:37:09.754Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "Game 1: Both Teams Slay a Dragon" outcome in "LoL: Caldya Esport vs Lausanne-Sport Esports (BO1) - Nexus League Regular Season" made a sharp move from 50.0% to 65.5% between 2026-08-01T03:37:06.354Z and 2026-08-01T04:37:09.754Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    What changed

    The market repriced by +15.5 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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