Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for August 12 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras win the game by 2 or more goals.
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- Current leader
- Club Cerro Porteño 100%
- Leader 24h
- +47%
- 24h volume
- 266.1K
- Liquidity
- 51.4K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
Club Cerro Porteño
100%
+47% 24h
SE Palmeiras
0%
-47% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
In the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for August 12 at 6:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras win the game by 2 or more goals. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Club Cerro Porteño". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50–50.
This market will resolve according to the official final score published on conmebollibertadores.com. This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
Read the complete resolution rules
However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) drops: SE Palmeiras odds 47% → 0.1%
Odds chart
Probability over time
Story so far
Limited confidenceSE Palmeiras moved lower from 47.0% to 0.1% (-46.9 points) between 2026-08-12T00:03:05.284Z and 2026-08-13T00:03:05.284Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
The latest move is visible, but the public source trail is still thin.
Latest update
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5) drops: SE Palmeiras odds 47% → 0.1%
SE Palmeiras moved lower from 47.0% to 0.1% (-46.9 points) between 2026-08-12T00:03:05.284Z and 2026-08-13T00:03:05.284Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "SE Palmeiras" outcome in "Spread: SE Palmeiras (-1.5)" made a sharp move from 47.0% to 0.1% between 2026-08-12T00:03:05.284Z and 2026-08-13T00:03:05.284Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -46.9 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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