Fed Decision in September?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
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- Current leader
- the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting 53%
- Largest 24h move
- the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting +1%
- 24h volume
- 3.4M
- Liquidity
- 1.4M
Top candidates
5 outcomes
the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting
53%
0% 24h
there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting
45%
0% 24h
the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting
2%
-0% 24h
the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting
2%
+1% 24h
the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting
1%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar:.
Read the complete resolution rules
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
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Story so far
Still buildingthe Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting is 53%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and...
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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