Fed Decision in July?
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
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- Current leader
- there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting 79%
- Largest 24h move
- the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting -5%
- 24h volume
- 2.2M
- Liquidity
- 4M
Top candidates
5 outcomes
there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting
79%
+5% 24h
the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting
20%
-5% 24h
the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting
1%
0% 24h
the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting
0%
+0% 24h
the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting
0%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's July 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps) The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar:.
Read the complete resolution rules
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at. This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
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Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Still buildingthere be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting is 79%. Track the 24-hour odds move, volume, resolution criteria, chart history, and sourced...
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
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The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
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