Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
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- Current leader
- 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026 24%
- Largest 24h move
- 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026 -14%
- 24h volume
- 475.6K
- Liquidity
- 510.3K
Top candidates
26 outcomes
260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
24%
+10% 24h
240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
21%
+1% 24h
280-299 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
20%
+13% 24h
300-319 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
12%
+8% 24h
220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
10%
-12% 24h
Show all outcomes
320-339 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
7%
+6%
120-139 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
6%
-0%
100-119 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
4%
0%
200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
3%
-14%
340-359 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
2%
+1%
80-99 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
2%
0%
360-379 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
1%
+0%
180-199 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
1%
-3%
60-79 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
—
380-399 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
+0%
160-179 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
-1%
400-419 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
+0%
420-439 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
+0%
0-19 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
—
20-39 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
—
40-59 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
—
140-159 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
-0%
440-459 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
—
460-479 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
—
480-499 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
—
500+ tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026
0%
—
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from July 28 12:00 PM ET to August 4, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".
Read the complete resolution rules
If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Living timeline · 5 significant updates
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Limited confidenceElon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026 moved lower from 20.5% to 9.5% (-11.0 points) between 2026-07-31T06:00:10.415Z and...
The latest move is visible, but the public source trail is still thin.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026 moved lower from 20.5% to 9.5% (-11.0 points) between 2026-07-31T06:00:10.415Z and 2026-08-01T06:00:10.415Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026" outcome in "Elon Musk # tweets July 28 - August 4, 2026?" made a sharp move from 20.5% to 9.5% between 2026-07-31T06:00:10.415Z and 2026-08-01T06:00:10.415Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -11.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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