Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
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- Current leader
- 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 42%
- Largest 24h move
- 140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 +14%
- 24h volume
- 184.4K
- Liquidity
- 119.6K
Top candidates
24 outcomes
140-159 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
42%
+14% 24h
160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
31%
+8% 24h
180-199 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
16%
+1% 24h
120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
12%
-8% 24h
200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
7%
-1% 24h
Show all outcomes
220-239 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
2%
-0%
100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
1%
-9%
240-259 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
1%
-0%
80-99 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
-1%
260-279 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
0%
280-299 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
0%
300-319 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
0%
40-59 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
60-79 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
320-339 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
340-359 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
360-379 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
380-399 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
400-419 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
420-439 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
440-459 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
460-479 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
480-499 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
500+ tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026
0%
—
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 14 12:00 PM ET to August 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data".
Read the complete resolution rules
If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Living timeline · 4 significant updates
Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 in Elon Musk # tweets: Yes odds 14% → 1.1%
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Limited confidenceElon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 moved lower from 14.0% to 1.1% (-12.8 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.440Z and...
The latest move is visible, but the public source trail is still thin.
Latest update
Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 in Elon Musk # tweets: Yes odds 14% → 1.1%
Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026 moved lower from 14.0% to 1.1% (-12.8 points) between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.440Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.440Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026" outcome in "Elon Musk # tweets August 14 - August 21, 2026?" made a sharp move from 14.0% to 1.1% between 2026-08-17T23:03:05.440Z and 2026-08-18T23:03:05.440Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by -12.8 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.
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