Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Round
By PolySays EditorialUpdated Editorial method
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET.
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- Current leader
- Game 1: Ends in Daytime 90%
- Largest 24h move
- Not enough history
- 24h volume
- 4.5M
- Liquidity
- 1.7M
Top candidates
15 outcomes
Game 1: Ends in Daytime
90%
24h unavailable
Game 3: Ends in Daytime
50%
24h unavailable
Game 3: Both Teams Beat Roshan
50%
24h unavailable
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Barracks
50%
24h unavailable
Game 3: Any Player Ultra Kill
50%
24h unavailable
Show all outcomes
Game 3: Any Player Rampage
50%
—
Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan
10%
—
Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks
10%
—
Game 2: Both Teams Destroy Barracks
10%
—
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill
10%
—
Game 1: Any Player Rampage
10%
—
Game 2: Ends in Daytime
10%
—
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill
10%
—
Game 2: Any Player Rampage
10%
—
Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan
1%
—
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market refers to the Dota 2 match between LGD Gaming and Team Yandex in the The International Elimination Round, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET. This market will resolve to "LGD Gaming" if LGD Gaming win the match against Team Yandex. This market will resolve to "Team Yandex" if Team Yandex win the match against LGD Gaming.
If the match is canceled (not played at all) or ends in a tie, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match is postponed, it must be rescheduled to a start time on or before August 30, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET (14 calendar days after the originally scheduled start of August 16, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET).
Read the complete resolution rules
If, by that deadline, the most recently announced rescheduled start time is on or before the deadline, this market resolves based on the result of the match as played. Otherwise, this market resolves 50-50, regardless of whether the match is subsequently played.
If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins. If the match ends in a forfeit, disqualification, or walkover (team withdraws before the start and the other wins automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from.
However, if has not published final results within 2 hours after the event’s conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead including video evidence. In cases where a team’s listed name includes minor discrepancies from the resolution source, this market will resolve based on the underlying real-world match rather than exact name matching.
Recognizable abbreviations, alternate or erroneous spellings, sponsor tags, affiliate or academy designations, regional identifiers, and minor formatting differences will be treated as referring to the same team, provided the intended team can be clearly and uniquely identified within the relevant competition.
If a listed team name has no reasonable connection to any participating team, or if it matches or could reasonably refer to another team in the same competition such that the intended team cannot be unambiguously determined, this market will resolve 50-50.
Living timeline · 6 significant updates
LGD Gaming odds slide 17 points ahead of TI elimination round
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Story so far
Up to dateLGD Gaming’s implied win probability dropped sharply from 58.5% to 41.5% between 09:48 UTC and 10:03 UTC on August 16, 2026. The supplied material does not confirm a specific trigger; the move appears to have happened ahead of the TI elimination round context.
This story reflects the latest meaningful update PolySays has published.
Latest update
LGD Gaming odds slide 17 points ahead of TI elimination round
LGD Gaming’s implied win probability fell from 58.5% to 41.5% between 09:48 UTC and 10:03 UTC on August 16, 2026, with no confirmed catalyst in the supplied sources beyond TI 2026 schedule context.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No confirmed catalyst is provided in the supplied sources; the move is only described in relation to TI 2026 schedule context.
Unresolved questions
- What specific event or team news, if any, led to the odds plunge?
- Did the market move reflect updated bracket/schedule context, lineup information, or another undisclosed factor?
- Will the price stabilize or continue moving before the elimination round?
People and institutions to watch
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
LGD Gaming’s market moved sharply lower during the 15-minute window from 2026-08-16T09:48:05.252Z to 2026-08-16T10:03:05.258Z, dropping from 0.585 to 0.415 (down 0.170, or 17.0 percentage points). The supplied sources only confirm the broader The International 2026 schedule/results context and do not provide a specific match event or news item that explains the move. That means the odds change appears to have coincided with the elimination-round setting, but a direct cause is not established from the provided material.
What changed
LGD Gaming’s price likely moved in response to the The International 2026 elimination-round context, but the supplied sources do not confirm a specific on-the-record catalyst; the move coincided with TI 2026 schedule/results updates.
What to watch next
Watch for confirmed match coverage, lineup or bracket updates, and any official TI 2026 results that could clarify whether the move was tied to a real-world development or just market repositioning.
Sources
- · Hawk Live
The International 2026: Schedule, Standings, Results Hawk Live
- · Esports Charts
The International 2026 - TI 2026 Dota 2 - Schedule and Results Esports Charts
- · Hawk Live
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