closedEsports+37% 24h

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs

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Current leader
FURIA 100%
Leader 24h
+37%
24h volume
1.9M
Liquidity
685.8K

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

FURIA

100%

+37% 24h

Aurora Gaming

0%

-37% 24h

Odds chart

Probability over time

Story so far

Needs a refresh

FURIA's Map 1 win odds moved sharply higher over the 24 hours ending August 19, 2026, rising from 55.5% to 99.95% with reported volume increasing as well. The available material points to a strong market shift before the Aurora match, but it does not identify a confirmed on-the-record catalyst.

No major update has changed the story in 15 days.

Latest update

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs jumps: FURIA odds 61.5% → 83.5%

FURIA moved higher from 61.5% to 83.5% (+22.0 points) between 2026-08-18T19:03:05.403Z and 2026-08-19T19:03:05.403Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • Polymarket-reported 24h price movement for FURIA was very large, which appears to have driven the updated odds.
  • Reported trading volume rose alongside the odds surge, suggesting increased market activity.
  • The draft sources discuss FURIA vs. Aurora pricing, but no specific catalyst is confirmed in the available material.

Unresolved questions

  • What specific information, if any, triggered the late odds surge?
  • Whether the move reflects new team news, lineup information, or broader market momentum remains unclear.
  • Can the pricing change be sustained through the match, or is it a short-lived market overreaction?

People and institutions to watch

FURIAAuroraPolymarketFURIA vs. Aurora

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The "FURIA" outcome in "Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs" made a sharp move from 61.5% to 83.5% between 2026-08-18T19:03:05.403Z and 2026-08-19T19:03:05.403Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.

    What changed

    The market repriced by +22.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.

    Sources

    No external sources are attached yet.

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