Xi Jinping divorce before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 98%
- Leader 24h
- 0%
- 24h volume
- 117.1
- Liquidity
- 36.1K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
98%
0% 24h
Yes
2%
-0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan announce their intention to divorce between the date of market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Xi Jinping and/or Peng Liyuan, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
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Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 98%.
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Why this matters
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline