activeSportsSpain +12% 24h

World Cup Group H Winner

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026.

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Current leader
Spain 98%
Largest 24h move
Spain +12%
24h volume
156.9K
Liquidity
80.3K

Top candidates

3 outcomes

Spain

98%

+12% 24h

Cape Verde

2%

-1% 24h

Uruguay

0%

-9% 24h

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the team that wins Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup group stage, scheduled for June 11-27, 2026. If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.

If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Living timeline · 1 significant update

Uruguay Group H market nears close with odds unchanged at 9.5%

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Spain probability of 98%.

Story so far

Needs a refresh

Uruguay’s Group H winner market was previously untracked and now has been flagged as nearing close. During the supplied window, odds stayed unchanged at 9.5% with no volume change, suggesting no fresh market movement beyond the close countdown.

No major update has changed the story in 19 days.

Latest update

Uruguay Group H market nears close with odds unchanged at 9.5%

Uruguay’s Group H winner market was flagged as nearing close, with 23.2 hours remaining and odds unchanged at 9.5% during the supplied window.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • Market is nearing close, with about 23.2 hours remaining.

Unresolved questions

  • Whether any late information or trading activity appears before close.
  • Whether the 9.5% price remains stable into settlement.

People and institutions to watch

UruguayUruguay Group H winner market

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The supplied movement data shows no price move for Uruguay in the World Cup Group H winner market: odds were 0.095 before and 0.095 after, for a delta of 0, at 2026-06-26T00:46:30.975Z. The only confirmed market event in the input is timing-related: the market was categorized as nearing close because it closes in 23.2 hours. A matched Google News RSS item points to a Squawka article about Group H odds, table, fixtures, and results, but the provided snippet does not establish a specific cause for Uruguay’s unchanged position. In the broader event snapshot, Spain remains the clear top listed candidate at 86.5%, while Uruguay is second at 9.5% and Cape Verde is third at 3.6%.

    What changed

    Nothing changed in the supplied odds window: Uruguay stayed at 9.5%, with a 0.0-point delta as the market neared close.

    What to watch next

    Watch for official Group H fixture, lineup, injury, or results updates that could clarify whether any later movement is news-driven.

    Sources