Will xAI release a dLLM by June 30?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, xAI releases a Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM).
- Current leader
- No 99%
- Leader 24h
- +0%
- 24h volume
- 1.1K
- Liquidity
- 4K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
99%
+0% 24h
Yes
1%
-0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, before June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, xAI releases a Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM).
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Any xAI dLMM will be considered to be released if it is launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by xAI as being accessible to the general public.
A Diffusion Large Language Model (dLLM) is any model for which official publicly released documentation, such as a model card, technical paper, or official statements from its developers, clearly identifies diffusion or iterative denoising as a central part of its text-generation or decoding process.
Read the complete resolution rules
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from xAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
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