activePolitics+0% 24h

Will US annex any territory in 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

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Current leader
No 92%
Leader 24h
+0%
24h volume
52.4
Liquidity
12.9K

Top outcomes

2 outcomes

No

92%

+0% 24h

Yes

9%

-0% 24h

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Official description

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Resolves Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially annexes any territory by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Resolves No

Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Annexation is defined as an official declaration or legal act by the US government claiming sovereignty over territory they were not claiming at the time of this market's creation.

Qualifying examples of annexation include the Louisiana Purchase, however instances where settlers claim administrative control over land without a formal annexation will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Probability over time

Odds chart showing latest No probability of 96%.

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Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

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Living timeline

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