Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?
President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Current leader
- No 91%
- Leader 24h
- +3%
- 24h volume
- 60.2
- Liquidity
- 6K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
91%
+3% 24h
Yes
10%
-2% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
President Donald Trump visits the autonomous territory of Greenland by December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If U.S. For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of Greenland. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution.
The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g., however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 94%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline