Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release.
- Current leader
- Yes 99%
- Leader 24h
- +1%
- 24h volume
- 613
- Liquidity
- 8.2K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
Yes
99%
+1% 24h
No
1%
-1% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
Valve has announced the release of the new Steam Machine gaming console in early 2026. (see: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the price of Valve's Steam Machine 512GB edition is $700 or greater upon release.
Resolves No
If the Steam Machine 512GB edition gaming console is not released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
In order to be considered released, the product must be available for purchase by the general public within the specified timeframe. An announcement or unveiling alone is not sufficient. This market is specifically about the Steam Machine with 512GB of storage. The product must be named "Steam Machine" to qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements from Valve.
However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Yes probability of 98%.
Story so far
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Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline