Will the RSF capture Khartoum by June 30?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum ( by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 98%
- Leader 24h
- 0%
- 24h volume
- 14.8
- Liquidity
- 10.3K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
98%
0% 24h
Yes
2%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) capture Khartoum ( by June 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The city will be considered captured if the Rapid Support forces have established military control over the "Khartoum International Airport" (مطار الخرطوم الدولي: by the resolution date. If the RSF comes into control of the city as a result of a negotiated settlement, this will qualify for a “Yes” resolution. An announcement of a negotiated settlement that grants the RSF de jure control will not qualify.
Actual control must be established. Once the RSF captures the specified place, any subsequent loss of control will not be considered towards the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting, including video and photo evidence that the RSF has captured the specified point.
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