Will knots flip bitcoin core before 2027?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes.
- Current leader
- No 58%
- Leader 24h
- -0%
- Volume
- 438.7
- Liquidity
- 10.7
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
58%
-0% 24h
Yes
42%
+0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the number of Bitcoin Knots nodes exceeds the number of Bitcoin Core nodes.
Resolves No
Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is, specifically the “Bitcoin Nodes” chart.
Resolution will be based on the node counts displayed when hovering over each date for Bitcoin Core Nodes and Bitcoin Knots Nodes. A data point for a given day will be considered finalized once data for the following day is published.
If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable within this market’s timeframe and before resolution criteria are met, the market will resolve based on a reliable alternative source or public data consistent with the official Bitcoin node counts.
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 90%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline