Will Elon register any party before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 94%
- Leader 24h
- +0%
- 24h volume
- 14.2
- Liquidity
- 10.4K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
94%
+0% 24h
Yes
6%
-0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Elon Musk formally registers a political party in the United States by December 31, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The registration must be made with a relevant state or federal election authority and reported as such by a consensus of credible media outlets.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 96%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
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Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline