Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Current leader
- No 61%
- Leader 24h
- +8%
- 24h volume
- 3.1
- Liquidity
- 6.2K
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
61%
+8% 24h
Yes
39%
-8% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Apple publicly announces and launches a new product line by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Resolves No
Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A "new product line" is defined as a category of products Apple has not previously sold, rather than an iteration or update of an existing product. Examples of a new product line would include an Apple-branded home robot or gaming console, while a new iPhone, Mac, iPad, Apple Watch, or AirPods models would not qualify. The resolution source will be official information from Apple.
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 64%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline