Will a coin launched in 2026 end the year above $20B FDV?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B.
- Current leader
- No 86%
- Leader 24h
- -5%
- 24h volume
- 31
- Liquidity
- 286.9
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
86%
-5% 24h
Yes
14%
+5% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any token launched in 2026 ends the year with an FDV above $20B.
Resolves No
Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” A token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered launched.
The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid:. Stablecoins, liquid staking tokens (LSTs), liquidity pool tokens, and synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 86%.
Story so far
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Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline