Will 6+ coins launched in 2026 end the year above $1B FDV?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 6 or more tokens launched in 2026 end the year with an FDV above $1B.
- Current leader
- No 62%
- Leader 24h
- +3%
- Volume
- 116
- Liquidity
- 19.9
Top outcomes
2 outcomes
No
62%
+3% 24h
Yes
38%
-3% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Resolves Yes
This market will resolve to “Yes” if 6 or more tokens launched in 2026 end the year with an FDV above $1B.
Resolves No
Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The token must be actively and publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
The FDV will be calculated by multiplying the total token supply by the token price. The token price used will be the “Close” price on CoinGecko for December 31, 2026, as shown in the token’s historical data (e.g., Hyperliquid:. Stablecoins, LSTs, liquidity pool tokens, or synthetic representations of other assets will not qualify.
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Odds chart
Probability over time
Odds chart showing latest No probability of 50%.
Story so far
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
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Living timeline