activeSportsUmar Nurmagomedov next -5% 24h

Who will Petr Yan fight next?

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout.

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Current leader
Merab Dvalishvili next 73%
Largest 24h move
Umar Nurmagomedov next -5%
24h volume
0
Liquidity
15.7K

Top candidates

14 outcomes

Merab Dvalishvili next

73%

-3% 24h

Umar Nurmagomedov next

24%

-5% 24h

Sean O'Malley next

23%

+0% 24h

Alexander Volkanovski next

1%

-0% 24h

Song Yadong next

1%

-0% 24h

Show all outcomes

Pedro Munhoz next

1%

0%

Dominick Cruz next

1%

0%

Deiveson Figueiredo next

1%

+0%

Cory Sandhagen next

0%

0%

Alexandre Pantoja next

0%

0%

Payton Talbott next

0%

0%

Rob Font next

0%

0%

Ricky Simón next

0%

0%

Henry Cejudo next

0%

0%

Market rules, made readable

Official description

How this market is decided

See what is changing

This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count.

Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (.

Living timeline · 2 significant updates

Yan vs. Dvalishvili next market rises after reports Merab will wait for title shot

Odds chart

Candidate probability over time

Odds chart showing latest Merab Dvalishvili next probability of 64%.

Story so far

Needs a refresh

No event-level story summary has been written yet.

No major update has changed the story in 19 days.

Latest update

Yan vs. Dvalishvili next market rises after reports Merab will wait for title shot

The Merab Dvalishvili outcome moved from 58.5% to 64.5% between 08:06:18Z and 09:24:05Z, a 6.0-point rise, as recent MMA headlines focused on Merab saying he will wait for Petr Yan.

Why this matters

Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.

Known catalysts

  • No catalyst has been confirmed yet.

Unresolved questions

  • No open questions have been logged yet.

People and institutions to watch

Nothing specific is being tracked yet.

Source trail

No public sources are attached yet.

Living timeline

Significant updates

  1. The market for Petr Yan to fight Merab Dvalishvili next rose 6.0 percentage points, from 58.5% to 64.5%, between the supplied snapshots at 2026-06-26T08:06:18.215Z and 2026-06-26T09:24:05.154Z. The matched source context points to fresh coverage saying Dvalishvili is adamant that he will wait for a Petr Yan title shot, with MMA Junkie publishing a similar headline on June 25 and MMA Insight appearing in Google News RSS on June 26. That coverage is directly relevant to the matchup question, but the supplied snippets do not confirm a bout agreement, UFC announcement, date, contract status, or that the articles caused the market move. The odds move appears plausibly correlated with renewed reporting around Merab's stated preference to wait for Yan.

    What changed

    Yes moved from 0.585 to 0.645, a 0.060 increase, during the supplied 78-minute snapshot window.

    What to watch next

    Watch for a UFC announcement, fighter or manager confirmation, bout agreement reporting, or competing signals around Sean O'Malley and other listed Yan opponents.

    Sources