Who will be UFC Welterweight champion at the end of 2026?
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- Current leader
- Islam Makhachev 64%
- Largest 24h move
- Ian Machado Garry +4%
- 24h volume
- 0
- Liquidity
- 6.2K
Top candidates
12 outcomes
Islam Makhachev
64%
+1% 24h
Ian Machado Garry
29%
+4% 24h
Belal Muhammad
6%
+2% 24h
Carlos Prates
5%
-0% 24h
Michael Morales
4%
-2% 24h
Show all outcomes
Kamaru Usman
1%
0%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
1%
-0%
Jack Della Maddalena
1%
-0%
Leon Edwards
1%
-0%
Gabriel Bonfim
1%
0%
Sean Brady
1%
0%
Joaquin Buckley
0%
-0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Welterweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Islam Makhachev probability of 73%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline