Who will be UFC Bantamweight champion at the end of 2026?
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- Current leader
- Petr Yan 56%
- Largest 24h move
- Petr Yan +8%
- 24h volume
- 48.9
- Liquidity
- 8K
Top candidates
11 outcomes
Petr Yan
56%
+8% 24h
Merab Dvalishvili
19%
0% 24h
Sean O'Malley
12%
+0% 24h
Umar Nurmagomedov
6%
+4% 24h
Song Yadong
1%
+0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Aiemann Zahabi
1%
-0%
Deiveson Figueiredo
1%
-0%
Marlon Vera
1%
-0%
Cory Sandhagen
1%
-0%
David Martinez
0%
-0%
Mario Bautista
0%
-0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the official UFC Bantamweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Merab Dvalishvili drops 7.5 points in 2026 UFC bantamweight champion market
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Petr Yan probability of 47%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 21 days.
Latest update
Merab Dvalishvili drops 7.5 points in 2026 UFC bantamweight champion market
Merab Dvalishvili’s Yes odds fell from 26.5% to 19.0% between June 23 and June 24, while a June 25 MMA Junkie headline said he will wait for Petr Yan.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
Merab Dvalishvili’s market price moved sharply lower in the UFC bantamweight champion at end-2026 market, falling 7.5 percentage points from 26.5% to 19.0% between 2026-06-23T00:00:04.000Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:46.325Z. The supplied CLOB movement data confirms the odds plunge, but the only matched article is a later Google News RSS item pointing to an MMA Junkie headline that says Dvalishvili will wait for Petr Yan. That headline is relevant context for the title-picture discussion, but it was published after the stated movement window and does not by itself confirm why the market moved. The price action therefore appears best described as a confirmed odds move with only weak contextual news support, not a sourced causal link.
What changed
Dvalishvili’s Yes price fell from 0.265 to 0.19, a -0.075 move, during the supplied June 23 to June 24 window.
What to watch next
Watch for confirmed UFC booking news involving Dvalishvili, Petr Yan, or other bantamweight contenders, plus any official title-fight timeline updates.
Sources
- Merab Dvalishvili will wait for Petr Yan – no matter how long it takes - MMA Junkiesearchrelevance 75%· Google News RSS
Merab Dvalishvili will wait for Petr Yan – no matter how long it takes MMA Junkie