Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
- Current leader
- Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026 73%
- Largest 24h move
- Jack Della Maddalena be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026 -4%
- 24h volume
- 143.5
- Liquidity
- 6.5K
Top candidates
15 outcomes
Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
73%
+1% 24h
Alexandre Pantoja be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
19%
-2% 24h
Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
16%
-3% 24h
Alex Pereira be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
4%
+0% 24h
Jack Della Maddalena be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
4%
-4% 24h
Show all outcomes
Dricus Du Plessis be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
3%
0%
Ilia Topuria be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
1%
-0%
Merab Dvalishvili be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
1%
0%
Petr Yan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
1%
-1%
Joshua Van be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
1%
0%
Arman Tsarukyan be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
1%
0%
Tom Aspinall be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
1%
0%
Magomed Ankalaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
1%
0%
Max Holloway be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
0%
0%
Khamzat Chimaev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the fighter that is ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound rankings on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. If, for any reason, there is no fighter ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at this market’s check-time, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (.
Living timeline · 1 significant update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026 probability of 71%.
Story so far
Needs a refreshNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
No major update has changed the story in 21 days.
Latest update
Sharp move with no clear public catalyst yet
Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026 moved higher from 66.5% to 72.5% (+6.0 points) between 2026-06-23T18:45:46.337Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:46.337Z; there is no clear public catalyst yet.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline
Significant updates
The "Islam Makhachev be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026" outcome in "Who will be UFC Pound-For-Pound #1 at the end of 2026?" made a sharp move from 66.5% to 72.5% between 2026-06-23T18:45:46.337Z and 2026-06-24T18:45:46.337Z. PolySays has not found a clear public news source, official statement, or other confirmed catalyst that explains the timing of this move. The move may reflect private interpretation, social discussion, liquidity conditions, or information that has not yet appeared in reliable public sources.
What changed
The market repriced by +6.0 points, but the public narrative has not caught up with a confirmed explanation.
What to watch next
Watch for official statements, later reporting, social posts that become verifiable public context, and whether volume or the new probability level holds in later snapshots.
Sources
No external sources are attached yet.