Which party will win the House in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S.
- Current leader
- the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections 84%
- Largest 24h move
- the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections 0%
- 24h volume
- 26.4K
- Liquidity
- 676.5K
Top candidates
2 outcomes
the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections
84%
0% 24h
the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections
16%
0% 24h
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the party that controls the House of Representatives following the 2026 U.S. House elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. House control is defined as having more than half of the voting members of the U.S. House of Representatives.
If the outcome of this election is ambiguous given the above rules, this market will remain open until the Speaker of the House is selected following the 2026 U.S. general election, at which point it will resolve to the party the Speaker is affiliated with at the time of their election to that position. If the elected Speaker does not caucus with any listed party this market will resolve “Other”.
Read the complete resolution rules
Determination of which party controls the House after the 2026 U.S. House elections will be based on a consensus of credible reporting, or if there is ambiguity, final federal and/or state election authority certification or other final official determination of the 2026 election results.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
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Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections probability of 84%.
Story so far
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Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
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Unresolved questions
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People and institutions to watch
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Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline