Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
- Current leader
- United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election 64%
- Largest 24h move
- New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election -4%
- 24h volume
- 314.8K
- Liquidity
- 918.4K
Top candidates
7 outcomes
United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
64%
+1% 24h
New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
31%
-4% 24h
the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
2%
+0% 24h
the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
2%
-0% 24h
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
0%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
0%
0%
Civic Platform (GP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
Read the complete resolution rules
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election probability of 56%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline