Which countries will recognize Israel by June 30?
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET.
- Current leader
- Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30 3%
- Largest 24h move
- Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30 0%
- 24h volume
- 2.9K
- Liquidity
- 194K
Top candidates
15 outcomes
Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30
3%
0% 24h
Tunisia recognize Israel by June 30
1%
0% 24h
Qatar recognize Israel by June 30
1%
0% 24h
Syria recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0% 24h
Venezuela recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Afghanistan recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Pakistan recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Will Cuba recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Iraq recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Kuwait recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
North Korea recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Bangladesh recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Indonesia recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information.
However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30 probability of 0%.
Story so far
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Latest update
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Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline