Which continent will win the World Cup?
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026.
- Current leader
- Europe (UEFA) 74%
- Largest 24h move
- South America (CONMEBOL) +2%
- 24h volume
- 448.5K
- Liquidity
- 1.5M
Top candidates
6 outcomes
Europe (UEFA)
74%
-2% 24h
South America (CONMEBOL)
20%
+2% 24h
Africa (CAF)
5%
0% 24h
North America (CONCACAF)
3%
0% 24h
Asia (AFC)
0%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
Oceania (OCF)
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve to the continent of the country that wins the 2026 FIFA World Cup, currently scheduled for June 11-July 19, 2026. For example, if France wins the tournament, the market will resolve to Europe. If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The definitive source of the continent for each country will be World Population Review (. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from FIFA ( and the World Population Review; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Europe (UEFA) probability of 81%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline