Which company has top AI model end of June? (Style Control On)
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard ( when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
- Current leader
- Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026 97%
- Largest 24h move
- Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026 -0%
- 24h volume
- 4K
- Liquidity
- 300.2K
Top candidates
15 outcomes
Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
97%
-0% 24h
OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
2%
-0% 24h
Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
1%
-0% 24h
Meta have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0% 24h
Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0% 24h
Show all outcomes
DeepSeek have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Mistral have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Microsoft have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Amazon have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
ByteDance have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Alibaba have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
xAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Moonshot have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Meituan have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Baidu have the top AI model at the end of June 2026
0%
0%
Market rules, made readable
Official descriptionHow this market is decided
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model with the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard ( when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at with style control on will be used to resolve this market.
Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard.
Read the complete resolution rules
If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at.
If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolves based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Living timeline · 0 significant updates
See the evidence and market movement as the story develops.
Odds chart
Candidate probability over time
Odds chart showing latest Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of June 2026 probability of 99%.
Story so far
Still buildingNo event-level story summary has been written yet.
There is not enough public context for a useful story yet.
Latest update
No updates yet
The timeline is waiting for a meaningful movement.
Why this matters
Market moves can show where expectations are changing. PolySays adds the source trail so the price is not treated as proof on its own.
Known catalysts
- No catalyst has been confirmed yet.
Unresolved questions
- No open questions have been logged yet.
People and institutions to watch
Nothing specific is being tracked yet.
Source trail
No public sources are attached yet.
Living timeline